Commentary

This Week in Ag (August 9)

Sideways price action as market looks to WASDE report on Friday. Fundamental A similar theme this week. The generally hot weather pattern continues but with enough scattered moisture to keep bulls defensive. Condition scores for corn and beans reflected that, with a slight uptick in Good-Excellent ratings this week and

This Week in Ag (August 2)

Softer tone post Fed announcement and a more moderate weather outlook: Fundamental It was a down week for row crops, with corn, soy, wheat and cotton all on the decline. Weather remains the primary fundamental focus. In the rearview mirror, it has clearly been hot and dry.  Weekly condition scores

This Week in Ag (July 26)

Fundamentals and Techs lean friendly heading into the Fed announcement. Fundamental Ag markets posted gains for the week, with wheat and cotton being the strongest movers. 55% of US corn area and 50% of soybean area is currently reported as being under drought, but crop-condition scores for both crops were

This Week in Ag (July 19)

A strong week post-WASDE. Fundamental Grain markets retreated in the wake of the USDA WASDE report, but corn, soy and wheat have all bounced nicely in the last five trading days. The report itself was largely as expected, with the main features being the incorporation of updated acreage figures along

This Week in Ag (July 11)

Wednesday is set to be a big day, with all eyes on the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report, to be released by the US Department of Agriculture at noon eastern standard time. Fundamental Markets will look to the WASDE report for direction heading into the second half

This Week in Ag (July 6)

The 4th of July is all about fireworks – and that’s what we got out of the big USDA report last Friday. Fundamental Of all the reports issued by the US Department of Agriculture on Friday, the acreage report was the most impactful. Soybean-planted acres came out at 83.5

What Lies Ahead for Ag Commodities as Interest Rates and US Debt Ceiling Find Stability?

Author: Doug Christie There is significant attention lately on macroeconomics. Although the Federal Reserve rate and debt-ceiling dialogues are becoming more settled, the impact on commodity markets still remains uncertain. As markets head into the summer, two major aspects of the macroeconomic framework appear to be fitting into place. The

China's push for food security

China is increasingly pushing for food security and self-sufficiency, and this has been widely reported by the media – see this Bloomberg article and this SCMP article. Geopolitics certainly play an important part, especially in the wake of the Russia-Ukraine war. But China's struggle with an ever-growing appetite for

Thoughts on food inflation

The World Bank recently stated in a report that there is still a high level of domestic food price inflation worldwide. The increase in global food prices has been attributed by some media sources to the ongoing Russian-Ukraine conflict (see for example, this CNN article) since both countries are significant