Commentary

Bearish Tone Continues Post-WASDE Report

Author: Doug Christie Fundamental: Markets worked lower following the WASDE reports with 3-5% declines in grains while cotton managed to post a slight gain. USDA reported a record US corn crop of 15.3 billion bushels and a 31 million bushel increase in year-over-year stocks despite projecting higher usage of

Modest Changes for Grains, Soy Works Lower and Cotton higher

Author: Doug Christie Fundamental:  Soy was the biggest mover in the first full 5-day review period of 2024 with prices declining by 25 cents. Recent moisture and a favorable forecast in Brazil seem to be systematically taking the weather risk premium out of bean prices. Corn and wheat were 3-4

Ag Markets Enter 2024 With a Defensive Tone

Author: Doug Christie Fundamental: Prices worked lower in the post-Christmas trading period, with grains seeing declines of 3.5% – 4.5%, while cotton remained essentially unchanged. Most of the price damage was done in the initial trading session of 2024, with all of the tracked commodities posting losses. It’s

Soft Price Action Heading into the Holiday Break

Author: Doug Christie Fundamental: Limited fundamental news, and the approaching holidays brought a quiet tone to markets.   All the tracked markets moved modestly lower in the five-day reference period. Corn finished 8 cents lower, while soybeans lost 11 cents. Wheat prices dipped by 3 cents.  Cotton values declined by 159

Mixed Patterns Post-WASDE, Perhaps the Holidays Are Starting Early

Author: Doug Christie Fundamental: Markets failed to make any strong moves in the wake of last Friday’s WASDE reports, which fell at the midpoint of the five-day reference period.   Corn rallied going into the report but has now retraced, closing down 10 cents on the week on Tuesday. Soy

Corn and Wheat Bounce, Soy Retreats, and Cotton Flat as Traders Look Ahead to WASDE

Author: Doug Christie Fundamental: Corn and wheat posted gains of 3.5% and 10%, respectively, for the five-day trading period ending December 5. Corn saw some positive demand news, with an uptick in weekly export sales from the US. Wheat benefited from the reporting of US export sales to China

Ag Markets Retreat as November Winds Down

Author: Doug Christie Fundamental: Major ag markets entered and exited the US Thanksgiving holiday period with a quiet and softer feel. Corn, wheat and soy all posted 2-3% declines over the five-day period ending November 28. Cotton was also lower, with a 1.3 % price decline over the same period.

Markets Enter US Holiday With a Weaker Tone

Author: Doug Christie Fundamental: Major ag markets worked lower, entering the US Thanksgiving holiday period with a softer feel. Wheat led the way down, with a 17 cent decline in SRW futures. Corn was off 8 cents while beans moved down 12. Cotton continued its decline, with a 134-point dip

Markets Mostly Strengthen Following WASDE Report

Author: Doug Christie  Fundamental: All four of the markets tracked here posted positive results across the five-day trading period.  USDA reports released November 12 were bearish on the surface, with larger supplies penciled in for US corn, soy, wheat and cotton. But, as is often the case, the markets digested

Soy Up, Cotton Down Heading Into WASDE Report

Author: Doug Christie Fundamental: Soy and cotton were the most active markets over the past five sessions. Beans posted a 61-cent gain on news of renewed US exports to China. After a signing-ceremony pledge to increase purchases of US farm goods, the market was further buoyed this week by reporting